Hot Takes - Weekend (Free) Edition
Is Harris Momentum real and sustainable? NYT Poll - Sun Belt Predictions - California Fraud paid by you - Biden Health Cover Up - Pelosi Plugs Biden for Mt. Rushmore? Jamie in the news/Fact of the Day
Weekend Hot Takes
The more things change, the more they stay the same
Harris either has the most momentum in the world and is headed towards a landslide victory or her numbers will revert to the mean, and the 2024 election will be a close one decided in 6-8 states. Bet on the latter, not the former.
Right now, polling shows that both Harris and Walz are not well defined, of course, Trump is very well defined. In other words, there is no question that democrats are excited about the idea of Harris, but it remains to be seen if independents in swing states will like the reality. It’s a double-edged sword. Harris’ conservative speech this week is just one example of her saying one thing while her history proves another.
This election is a sprint, and she has to hope that her hypocrisy does not catch up to her. Democrats are trying to define Walz as the friendly uncle who teaches kids to ride a bike in the street after work instead of the guy who implemented intrusive government programs during COVID.
America has just a short time to learn the facts about these two while they continue to utilize a compliant mainstream media to cover up the hypocrisies.
The New York Times poll
The NYT published a poll this weekend in the rust-belt states (look for my blog Monday for my predictions of these three states based on historical trends of other statewide races and ballot initiatives) of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania that has Harris in the lead, but more importantly, this poll shows Harris at the very important 50 percent level.
Sun Belt Predictions
Read my analysis of Sun Belt predictions based on external factors like other statewide races and ballot initiatives in Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia by clicking here.
California Fraud
Thomas Buckley has a Substack I think you may find interesting about Labor Secretary Su forgiving the state of California’s Employment Development Department CEDD $32.6 billion. The CEDD is a department Su was a previous secretary when the $32.6 billion debt occurred.
The real question here is, “How much of California’s debt is Kamala Harris going to forgive or use your federal tax dollars to pay off if she becomes president?”
Check out the Substack here.
Biden Health Cover Up
There still hasn’t been a reporter brave enough to ask Kamala Harris when she knew that Biden was no longer capable of being president, or at least a candidate for president. This is a big deal. Who is, has been, running the country? Citizens have a right to know.
In Case You Missed It – Pelosi plugs Biden for Mt. Rushmore and continues health cover up
Nancy Pelosi suggested this week that Biden be added to Mt. Rushmore because he is “such a consequential president.”
She was quoted in this article suggesting that Biden is “at the top of his game.”
The Biden health cover up conspiracy continues.
Jamie in the news this week
I appeared on The Garrett Belich Show which is a podcast out of Pittsburgh, PA. It’s a great show, give it a listen here.
I appear weekly Wednesday morning on the syndicated Ed Dean Radio Show at 6:45 a.m. You can listen here.
Politico quoted me in this news story – Trump anointed Vance as MAGA crown prince – but DeSantis isn’t going away
My blog – ReasonableArguments.com – now this Substack has been ranked in the top 8 political blogs in Florida by Feedspot.
Jamie’s Factoid of the Day – Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties in Florida are three of the largest, diverse, and liberal counties in America. These counties have a permanent, full-time population more than the states of Maryland, Wisconsin, Colorado, and Missouri, and would fall behind Tennessee making these three counties, if they were a state, the 14th most populated state in the union.
In 2022, Ron DeSantis won these three counties by 5,000 votes during his historic, landslide reelection.